Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 16.797589 19.575488 22.597236 26.119073 30.101249 34.454400 39.562943
2025-02-23 11.905634 15.657106 20.159182 25.913606 33.022076 41.461107 52.177862
2025-03-02 9.046347 13.128481 18.428635 25.708467 35.325759 47.462048 63.779641
2025-03-09 7.144697 11.294755 17.058661 25.466780 37.202693 52.757133 74.635330
2025-03-16 5.403511 9.278599 15.017778 23.874620 36.876820 54.889660 81.263008
2025-03-23 4.690315 8.626993 14.773207 24.698887 39.865909 61.618768 94.471864
2025-03-30 4.182758 8.192485 14.758680 25.800576 43.278295 69.111657 109.183458
2025-04-06 3.455955 7.243157 13.768434 25.218088 44.015595 72.671317 118.343884
2025-04-13 2.763237 6.214274 12.479680 23.957481 43.502654 74.222708 124.505483
2025-04-20 2.554371 6.061520 12.684932 25.213962 47.130600 82.353493 141.125874
2025-04-27 2.414286 6.018728 13.074653 26.812844 51.428004 91.775252 160.246766
2025-05-04 2.157290 5.681635 12.859498 27.282700 53.804585 98.207123 174.933834
2025-05-11 1.857527 5.216344 12.377654 27.295395 55.543761 103.973163 189.359549
2025-05-18 1.567684 4.715507 11.760254 26.997906 56.740559 108.987026 203.008192
2025-05-25 1.329851 4.283420 11.216258 26.769907 58.026696 114.219021 217.317132
2025-06-01 1.128562 3.893378 10.697172 26.516823 59.217347 119.326399 231.664995
2025-06-08 0.878542 3.295778 9.592458 24.867796 57.505906 119.071999 236.613943
2025-06-15 0.801407 3.183484 9.631188 25.721197 60.858163 128.268076 258.762942
2025-06-22 0.745754 3.123780 9.791046 26.861712 64.880741 138.933686 284.071948
2025-06-29 0.622697 2.806530 9.230565 26.258713 65.194928 142.578400 296.746147
2025-07-06 0.494627 2.425561 8.423923 24.953486 63.869445 142.946692 303.332910
2025-07-13 0.469815 2.418746 8.663939 26.254441 68.349153 154.944729 332.323974
2025-07-20 0.456390 2.453296 9.029423 27.909456 73.734496 169.012394 365.845497